PD Explained: Meaning, Types, Process, and Risks
Probability of Default, usually shortened to **PD**, is one of the most important ideas in credit risk. It estimates the chance that a borrower will fail to meet debt obligations over a defined time period, such as the next 12 months or over the full life of a loan. Banks, lenders, investors, analysts, and regulators use PD to price risk, approve credit, estimate losses, and protect financial stability.